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SPYquote · regime
SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF
755.72▼ -13.64 (-1.77%)
Regime-0.36zneutral
composite · last 60 sessions
Prev Close769.36
52 Wk Hi781.62
Data Date2026-10-30
52 Wk Lo629.28
Updated20:45z
As Of2026-10-30
52wk lo83% of range52wk hi
QQQquote · regime
QQQInvesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100)
690.49▼ -24.85 (-3.47%)
Regime-0.62zrisk-off / caution
composite · last 60 sessions
Prev Close715.34
52 Wk Hi762.86
Data Date2026-10-30
52 Wk Lo555.60
Updated20:45z
As Of2026-10-30
52wk lo65% of range52wk hi
IWMquote · regime
IWMiShares Russell 2000
279.33▼ -4.68 (-1.65%)
Regime-0.43zrisk-off / caution
composite · last 60 sessions
Prev Close284.01
52 Wk Hi305.18
Data Date2026-10-30
52 Wk Lo228.90
Updated20:45z
As Of2026-10-30
52wk lo66% of range52wk hi
Stock Plays — at a glance6 playscase as of 2026-10-30full plays →
SymbolSetupCloseEntryStopTP 1TP 2
Stock plays
MPCPullback to supportNeeds confirmation$444.73$446.96$410.26$493.98$557.06
VLOPullback to supportConfirmed$399.66$399.66$368.45$461.52$508.34
ITGRBreakoutNeeds confirmation$126.59$126.85$126.47$127.61$128.18
LNTHPullback to supportNeeds confirmation$100.46$100.52$99.54$102.48$111.86
KOBreakoutNeeds confirmation$94.08$95.53$92.28$102.03$106.91
PMBreakoutNeeds confirmation$208.79$214.87$204.47$235.67$251.27
Smart Money Plays — at a glancesmart money tab →
Scanning money flow…
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Backtested statistical framework built from historical prices. Past performance of the composite score, the momentum ranking and the setup rules does not predict future results. In the backtest, using the regime score as a tactical cash filter returned less than the momentum ranking on its own (8.3% vs 14.9% a year). Trade plans are rules-based arithmetic on daily bars, not predictions, and nothing here accounts for earnings dates, news or gaps. Smart money signals describe where volume and positioning lean; they are not forecasts. Market data: Yahoo Finance daily and intraday bars, live quotes (refreshed about every 30 seconds, not tick-by-tick) and news, CBOE delayed option chains, SEC EDGAR, Senate and House disclosures, all fetched and computed in Supabase.
Regime Composite — Legsregime_snapshot
SymbolSPYQQQIWMStrategyComposite z
Leg · readsWtSPY zQQQ zIWM z
1 · Trendpx vs 50d & 200d avg25%-1.22-1.62-1.47
2 · Breadthmkt-wideRSP / SPY · 20d chg25%+2.40+2.40+2.40
3 · Volatilitymkt-wideVIXY 10d / 60d avg (inv.)20%-0.63-0.63-0.63
4 · Creditmkt-wideHYG / IEF · 20d chg20%-2.77-2.77-2.77
5 · Rate curvemkt-wideIEF / SHY · 20d chg10%+2.91+2.91+2.91
Σ · Compositere-standardized · 252 sessions100%-0.36neutral-0.62risk-off / caution-0.43risk-off / caution
score = z( 0.25·trend + 0.25·breadth + 0.20·vol + 0.20·credit + 0.10·curve ) — every leg is its own z-score over the trailing 252 sessions; buckets: ≥ +1.25 strong risk-on · ≥ +0.40 risk-on · > −0.40 neutral · > −1.25 risk-off/caution · else crash-warning.
Rotation Strengthstrong0-100
94/ 100
strong
weakmoderatestrong
sectors separating and leadership holding — rotation is tradeable
Dispersion0.68
Leader gap1.66
Persistence+0.65
LeadingXLEXLVXLP
LaggingXLYXLUXLC
283-session history+0.3 vs 5 sessions ago
Sector Rotation Ladder11 SPDRsas of 2026-10-30
Momentum (3M / 6M / 12M total return)Risk-adj. score
3M6M12MSectorScoreValue#
+19.1%+19.0%+59.1%XLEEnergy+1.701
+13.9%+27.4%+28.4%XLVHealth Care+1.432
+5.4%+6.2%+16.8%XLPCons. Staples+0.683
+3.4%+2.7%+20.8%XLBMaterials+0.674
-1.5%+8.8%+8.5%XLFFinancials+0.505
+0.8%+10.9%+18.1%XLKTechnology+0.416
-4.5%-2.6%+6.2%XLREReal Estate+0.107
-8.6%-3.2%+7.9%XLIIndustrials+0.088
-2.4%-2.7%-3.5%XLYCons. Discretionary-0.169
-2.1%-6.7%-3.6%XLUUtilities-0.2610
-10.3%-14.4%-14.1%XLCCommunication Svcs-0.7311
top-3 = holdings bottom-3score = (0.2·r3 + 0.3·r6 + 0.5·r12) ÷ 126d ann. vol
Alertsderived live
AlertRegime · Pipeline · Sectors7 active
  • IWM · risk-off / cautioncomposite z -0.43 — between −1.25 and −0.40
  • QQQ · risk-off / cautioncomposite z -0.62 — between −1.25 and −0.40
  • SPY regime fliprisk-off / caution → neutral over the last 5 sessions
  • sync-reviews failedsource=steam games=0 new_reviews=0 failed=8 applied=0 skipped=0 105.7s
  • sync-reviews failedsource=steam games=0 new_reviews=0 failed=8 applied=0 skipped=0 103.6s
  • sync-directory faileddirectory=12123 (stocks=6584, etfs=5539) library_updated=0 sec_tickers=0 ciks_changed=0 · SEC company_tickers.json: SEC rate limit (HTTP 429) after 4 attempts; existing CIKs kept 46.5s
  • Top-3 momentum holdingsXLE · XLV · XLP
Ticker ▾
IWM REGIME-0.43zrisk-off / cautionQQQ REGIME-0.62zrisk-off / cautionSPY REGIME-0.36zneutralSPY755.72-1.77%QQQ690.49-3.47%IWM279.33-1.65%RSP218.31-0.79%VIXY18.41+10.50%HYG77.43-0.19%IEF91.76+0.56%SHY81.70+0.15%XLK179.51-4.89%XLF56.51-0.76%XLE70.02+1.91%XLV184.87+0.45%XLY115.38-0.71%XLP89.42+1.41%XLI167.40-1.60%XLB52.74+0.40%XLU43.43+0.67%XLRE43.17+0.26%XLC99.90-1.29%IWM REGIME-0.43zrisk-off / cautionQQQ REGIME-0.62zrisk-off / cautionSPY REGIME-0.36zneutralSPY755.72-1.77%QQQ690.49-3.47%IWM279.33-1.65%RSP218.31-0.79%VIXY18.41+10.50%HYG77.43-0.19%IEF91.76+0.56%SHY81.70+0.15%XLK179.51-4.89%XLF56.51-0.76%XLE70.02+1.91%XLV184.87+0.45%XLY115.38-0.71%XLP89.42+1.41%XLI167.40-1.60%XLB52.74+0.40%XLU43.43+0.67%XLRE43.17+0.26%XLC99.90-1.29%